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Original Research Communication |
1 From the Departments of Nutrition, Epidemiology, and Biostatistics, Harvard School of Public Health, Boston; the Channing Laboratory, Brigham and Women's Hospital and Harvard Medical School, Boston; and the Economic Research Service, US Department of Agriculture, Washington, DC.
See corresponding article on page 1214.
| ABSTRACT |
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Objective: We tested whether a high HEI score (range: 0100; 100 is best) calculated from a validated food-frequency questionnaire (HEI-f) could predict lower risk of major chronic disease in men.
Design: A cohort of US male health professionals without major disease completed detailed questionnaires on food intake and other risk factors for heart disease and cancer in 1986 and repeatedly during the 8-y follow-up. Major chronic disease outcome was defined as incident major cardiovascular disease (stroke or myocardial infarction, n = 1092), cancer (n = 1661), or other non-trauma-related deaths (n = 366).
Results: The HEI-f was weakly inversely associated with risk of major chronic disease [comparing highest with lowest quintile of the HEI-f, relative risk (RR) = 0.89; 95% CI: 0.79, 1.00; P < 0.001 for trend]. The HEI-f was associated with moderately lower risk of cardiovascular disease (RR = 0.72; 95% CI: 0.60, 0.88; P < 0.001) but was not associated with lower cancer risk.
Conclusions: The HEI-f was only weakly associated with risk of major chronic disease, suggesting that improvements to the HEI may be warranted. Further research on the HEI could have implications for refinements to the Dietary Guidelines for Americans and the food guide pyramid.
Key Words: Diet nutrition diet quality healthy eating index food guide pyramid dietary guidelines Dietary Guidelines for Americans cardiovascular disease stroke heart disease myocardial infarction cancer men chronic disease prevention cancer prevention cardiovascular disease prevention
| INTRODUCTION |
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The healthy eating index (HEI) measures adherence to the major recommendations of the Dietary Guidelines for Americans and the food guide pyramid and was created to monitor the dietary status of Americans and to serve as the basis of nutrition promotion activities for the population (9). Although the HEI has been used to characterize changes in diet quality over time (10) and to describe US eating patterns and their determinants (11), the value of this index for predicting health outcomes has not been examined.
The purpose of this study was to evaluate whether adherence to the Dietary Guidelines for Americans, measured by calculating the HEI from food-frequency questionnaires (FFQs), predicts improved health outcomes. We addressed this question in the Health Professionals Follow-up Study (HPFS), a large prospective cohort study of men, by using a composite of major CVD, cancer, and non-trauma-related death as the outcome measure.
| SUBJECTS AND METHODS |
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Dietary assessment
Dietary intake data were collected in 1986 and 1990 with a 131-item semiquantitative FFQ. For each item on the FFQ, a common serving size was specified (eg, one-half cup carrots or 1 cup milk) and participants were asked how often, on average, they consumed this serving size of the item during the previous year. The FFQ provided 9 frequency responses ranging from "never or less than once per month" to "6 or more times per day." Separate questions were asked about types of fats and oils used in cooking and the addition of salt to food during cooking and at the table. We computed nutrient intakes by multiplying the frequency of consumption of each food by the nutrient content of the specified portion and then summing the nutrient contributions from all the foods. Nutrient values were obtained from the Harvard University Food Composition Database, derived from US Department of Agriculture sources (17, 18), and supplemented with information from food manufacturers and published research.
The development, reproducibility, and validity of the FFQ were documented in detail (4, 1214). Dietary factors assessed by the FFQ correlated with biochemical measures in blood and adipose tissue (15, 16) and predicted disease risk (4). For the validation study, the FFQ was administered twice in 1986 (at a 1-y interval) to 127 randomly selected cohort members living in the Boston area. We compared intakes from the FFQs with 2 sets of weighed, 1-wk food records that were recorded 6 mo apart. Pearson correlation coefficients between the FFQs and food records for energy-adjusted nutrients were 0.67 for total fat, 0.75 for saturated fat, 0.60 for sodium, and 0.76 for cholesterol (14); these data were corrected for week-to-week variation in food records. For individual food items, the mean Pearson correlation coefficient between the food records and FFQ, corrected for within-person weekly variation, was 0.63.
The healthy eating index
The HEI was originally developed by using 24-h-recall and food-record data from the Continuing Survey of Food Intakes by Individuals (CSFII), a nationwide survey conducted by the Agricultural Research Service of the US Department of Agriculture (19). The HEI consists of 10 equally weighted components, each representing different dietary recommendations from the food guide pyramid (7) and the 1995 Dietary Guidelines for Americans (6) (Table 1
). Each component has a minimum score of 0 and a maximum score of 10 (for perfect adherence); intermediate degrees of adherence are calculated proportionately. The scores from the 10 components are then added to obtain a total HEI score ranging from 0 (worst) to 100 (best).
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50 y is 11. Those men meeting or exceeding this goal earned a score of 10 (best) and those not consuming any grains received a score of 0. Five and one-half servings (half of the goal) earned a score of 5. We calculated an HEI score for each cohort member in 1986 and 1990 by using their responses to the FFQs and guidelines from the Healthy Eating Index Final Report (20). Food items on the FFQ were assigned to their appropriate food groups after applying serving size conversion factors when appropriate to conform to the serving size definitions in the food guide pyramid. These serving size definitions were obtained from the database for the CSFII (19). Consistent with US Department of Agriculture protocol (20), recipes and foods from our nutrient database were disaggregated into their component parts and individual foods were assigned to the appropriate food groups. The average daily number of servings of foods from each food group was then totaled. Energy-adjusted food intake was not used, because such adjustment is not used in the original US Department of Agriculture HEI scoring system. This system accounts for general differences in energy requirements (eg, serving recommendations are different for different combinations of sex and age.)
Only food and recipe constituents that contributed toward the 5 food groups were counted when calculating average daily number of food servings. For example, consistent with the HEI, the potato portion of French fries (by weight) was counted toward the vegetable group and the apple and flour in apple pie were counted toward the fruit and grain groups, respectively. The fat content of these foods was considered later in the components for total fat, saturated fat, and cholesterol. Sugar content was not considered.
Values for the components total fat, saturated fat, cholesterol, and sodium were obtained from our nutrient database. Total and saturated fat intakes were expressed as percentages of total energy. Cholesterol and sodium were calculated by using raw nutrient totals; energy was controlled for in the multivariate model. For the component variety, it was necessary to use a different calculation method than was used in the original HEI, which scored variety by the number of unique food items consumed during a 3-d period. Because the FFQ is designed to measure long-term intake and contains a fixed number of food items, we scored variety as the number of unique foods consumed at least once per month. To do this, we grouped similar foods together by using HEI guidelines (20). For example, skim milk and whole milk were grouped together, whereas chicken and beef were counted separately. The total number of unique foods consumed per month (range: 2363) among all participants was then divided into 11 quantiles to calculate cutoffs for assigning variety component scores of 010. For example, those subjects with the smallest number of unique foods consumed per month received a score of 0, and those with the highest number received a score of 10.
Hereafter, we refer to the HEI calculated from FFQs as the HEI-f. In the group of 127 men who also completed food records (13, 14), the Pearson correlation coefficient relating the HEI-f to the HEI computed from the food records, corrected for week-to-week variation in food records, was 0.72 (95% CI: 0.59, 0.81).
Outcome ascertainment
We identified incident diseases and deaths that occurred after subjects returned the baseline 1986 questionnaire until 1 February 1994. The primary endpoint, major chronic disease, was defined as CVD, cancer, or death not resulting from trauma, whichever came first.
CVD was defined as myocardial infarction (MI) or stroke (fatal or nonfatal for both). We asked all men who reported incident MI or stroke on their 1988, 1990, 1992, and 1994 questionnaires to confirm the report and provide permission to review their medical records. Study physicians who were unaware of the subjects' risk factor status reviewed the records. MI was confirmed by using the following World Health Organization criteria (21): compatible symptoms plus either typical electrocardiographic changes or elevation of cardiac enzymes. Stroke was confirmed if characterized by a typical neurologic defect of sudden or rapid onset, lasting
24 h, that was attributable to a cerebrovascular event (22). When medical records were unavailable, confirmation was based on other sources (such as a verbal report from the subject); this occurred for 3.9% of MI cases and 8.5% of stroke cases.
As with CVD, we sought to confirm all cancer diagnoses by using medical records, which were reviewed by physicians who were unaware of the subjects' risk factor status. A total of 1015% of confirmations were not based on medical records but instead were based on other confirmatory evidence. We included all confirmed cancers except nonmelanoma skin cancer and low-grade, organ-confined prostate cancer (below stage C and below Gleason grade 7) (23) because of the relatively low mortality from these highly prevalent lesions and because diet appears to be more of a risk factor for more aggressive forms of prostate cancer.
All deaths except those from external causes (eg, accidents and suicides) were included in the composite major chronic disease endpoint. Deaths were reported by next of kin, coworkers, or postal authorities or through the National Death Index (24). Nonresponding participants were assumed to be alive if not listed in the National Death Index. We attempted to confirm each cause of death by using medical records or autopsy reports.
Statistical analyses
We excluded men with implausibly high or low reported energy intake (outside the range of 3360 to 17640 kJ), those who left
70 questions blank on the FFQ, and men who reported previous cancer (other than nonmelanoma skin cancer), MI, stroke, angina, other heart disease (eg, aortic stenosis, heart rhythm disturbances), diabetes, or renal disease. After all exclusions, 38622 men remained.
Each participant contributed follow-up time lasting from the return of his baseline questionnaire in 1986 until either the diagnosis of CVD or cancer, death, or February 1, 1994. Confirmed cases were excluded from subsequent follow-up; thus, each person could contribute only one diagnosed CVD or cancer endpoint to the analysis and the cohort at risk included only those free of disease at the beginning of each 2-y follow-up interval. Overall follow-up, on the basis of eligible person-years through 1994, was 97% complete.
HEI-f quintiles were defined by using a cumulative average scoring method (25). This method used repeated measures of diet to capture long-term intake and to reduce measurement error due to intraindividual variation in diet over time (25). With this method, quintiles of the 1986 HEI-f score were used to predict outcome during the period 19861990 and quintiles derived from an average of the 1986 and 1990 HEI-f scores were related to outcome from 1990 to 1994. If no questionnaire was completed in 1990, the 1986 HEI-f score was carried forward. Because intentional changes in diet resulting from the diagnosis of angina, hypercholesterolemia, diabetes, and hypertension may confound the associations between diet and disease, in the primary analysis we did not update diet for men who reported these conditions between 1986 and 1990. Quintile cutoffs were computed separately for the 2 time periods. The trend test was computed by using the median quintile value from the average of all interval scores and was modeled as a continuous regression variable. Because long-term diet is relevant in analyses of diet and chronic disease, we also examined baseline HEI-f scores in relation to all outcomes.
We calculated relative risks (RRs) as the incidence of major chronic disease, CVD, or cancer among men in each quintile of HEI-f score divided by the incidence for those in the lowest quintile of HEI-f score, adjusting for age. To adjust for
2 covariates, we used pooled logistic regression (26) with 2-y time increments to calculate odds ratios as estimates of RRs. This approach is used regularly in prospective cohort analyses with repeated measures of exposure and was shown to closely approximate Cox regression analysis with time-dependent covariates (27).
In addition to analysis by quintiles of HEI-f, we examined each outcome according to US Department of Agriculturedefined HEI categories of poor (<51), needs improvement (5180), and good (>80). To examine the influence of individual HEI-f components on the incidence of major chronic disease, CVD, and cancer, each of the 10 components was entered individually into the final multivariate model as a continuous (010) variable. We then conducted stepwise regression to determine which HEI-f components were most strongly and independently associated with the outcomes of interest. We tested for interactions by stratifying according to age (< or
60 y), smoking (never, past, or current), and multivitamin use (yes or no). To formally test for interactions, models with and without interaction terms were compared by using likelihood ratio tests (28).
Criteria for inclusion of covariates in the model included a priori knowledge of risk factors in this cohort or a change of >10% in the ß-coefficient for the HEI-f outcome association. Self-reported nondietary covariates, including age (in 5-y categories), leisure time physical activity (in metabolic equivalents), cigarette smoking (never, past, or current amount smoked), and body mass index in kg/m2 (quintiles) were updated every 2 y. Total energy intake and alcohol consumption (both in quintiles) were assessed at baseline and in 1990. In general, the same baseline exclusions were used for each outcome and the same covariates were included in the final models. Exceptions were that the diagnoses of hypercholesterolemia and hypertension (both binary) at baseline were included in multivariate models for major chronic disease and CVD outcomes only, and use of multivitamins (yes or no) and vitamin E [yes (defined as
100 IU/d) or no] were included in the CVD models only. All reported P values are two-tailed. We present RRs and 95% CIs.
| RESULTS |
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The mean total HEI-f score from the cumulatively updated diet measure was 68.3 ± 11.5 (range: 21.697.4) and the 10th and 90th percentiles were 52.7 and 82.6, respectively. On average, participants came closest to meeting the recommendation for the meat group, with a mean (±SD) score of 8.5 ± 1.9. The food group with the lowest average score was grains (4.7 ± 2.1) (Table 1
). The SDs indicated substantial variation for all component scores within the cohort. Because the HEI-f score for variety was determined on the basis of the distribution in the HPFS cohort, the mean score was predetermined to be 5.0. As shown in Table 1
, the mean total HEI-f score in this cohort was comparable to the total HEI scores in the CSFII (10), although scores in the HPFS were higher for some components (eg, fruit, vegetables, and meat) and lower for others (eg, grains and variety). The distribution of total HEI-f scores in the HPFS cohort was shifted slightly toward higher values but overlapped considerably with scores in the CSFII population, which included men, women, and children (Figure 1
).
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60 y), or current multivitamin use (yes or no), the association between the HEI-f score and risk of major chronic disease was similar for the different categories (eg, age < or
60 y). The results were similar when body mass index was not included in the model (RR = 0.88; 95% CI: 0.78, 0.99 for men in the highest quintile compared with those in the lowest) and when we continued updating the dietary data if a participant was diagnosed with hypertension or hypercholesterolemia (RR = 0.87; 95% CI: 0.77, 0.99).
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| DISCUSSION |
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Several factors may explain the stronger association observed for CVD than for cancer. In general, more HEI components have been consistently associated with reduced CVD or CVD risk factors than with cancer, because more is known about dietary risk factors for CVD. Also, the duration of the study may not have captured the appropriate latency period to detect an association between diet and overall cancer risk. However, the results were unchanged whether baseline or cumulative diet was used in the analyses, and associations between specific dietary factors and cancer were previously detected during this 8-y follow-up period (3133).
One possible explanation for the weak association between the HEI-f score and overall chronic disease risk might be that dietary intake was measured poorly by the methods that we used; measurement errors would tend to underestimate associations between diet and disease. However, for the foods and nutrients included in the HEI, the FFQ we used was shown to rank individuals similarly using different assessment methods (1216) so that important associations would not be missed in a study of this size. In this same population, controlling for similar confounders, various aspects of diet clearly predicted the incidence of heart disease and cancer (3135). Further, in the age-adjusted analysis, the HEI-f did predict major chronic disease outcome, indicating that the dietary questionnaire can capture individual intake and can predict disease outcome. The weak association in the multivariate analysis is therefore not a result of an inability of the FFQ to measure individual differences in diet, but rather a result of associations between these differences in diet and smoking and other lifestyle variables that are strong risk factors for chronic disease.
The HEI was originally developed by using 3 d of dietary intake results (2 food records and one 24-h recall) from the CSFII (19). Because FFQs are designed to measure long-term intake and necessarily contain a fixed list of foods, one may anticipate that HEI scores would vary greatly between methods. We did not find this to be the case, however, and our scores were generally comparable with those reported for CSFII participants. In addition, the HEI-f correlated well with the HEI calculated from two 1-wk food records in a subset of the HPFS population. Furthermore, our method of calculating the variety component was apparently not a limitation because our approach yielded variety scores that were inversely associated with disease outcome.
Another possible explanation for our modest findings is that important food components are not represented by the HEI and HEI-f, or that some components of the HEI are not important in relation to major chronic disease risk. Although our findings for CVD were in the expected direction, it seems certain that some HEI-f components could be refined and improved in several ways to strengthen the association of the HEI with major chronic disease outcomes. For example, the dietary guidelines consider total fat intake >30% of energy to be detrimental, regardless of the fat source. This limitation on all types of fat ignores the benefits of unsaturated fats (3639). In general, total fat intake has not been associated with increased cancer risk independent of total energy intake (32, 33, 40, 41). Also, low-fat, high-carbohydrate diets can have adverse metabolic effects (4244) and neither the original HEI nor the HEI-f distinguish between differences in refinement of grains, which can have important effects on the risk of heart disease and type 2 diabetes (45, 46). Potato consumption makes an important contribution to the vegetable score in the HEI-f (
28% of the vegetable score in this cohort), and the evidence does not support an inverse relation between potato consumption and risk of any type of cancer (2, 47). Further, the meat group in the food guide pyramid includes red meat, which was associated with CVD and several types of cancer (32, 33, 4850), together with foods that were associated with reduced disease risk (eg, fish and nuts) (33, 51). The saturated fat component of the HEI-f score had the strongest independent inverse association with major chronic disease outcome (a higher score represents lower saturated fat intake) and both the saturated fat and fruit components of the HEI-f were independently associated with a reduced risk of CVD. This suggests that the HEI might be more predictive if certain components were eliminated or revised. Future analyses that would use modifications of the HEI could address these issues.
Our cohort was well educated, had a relatively homogeneous socioeconomic status, and was mostly white. However, this did not appear to reduce the variation in the HEI-f scores. This lack of diversity has the advantage of reducing confounding by variables that are related to socioeconomic status and that are difficult to control. However, because the response of some chronic disease risk factors to dietary interventions may vary by race (52), these analyses should be replicated in other populations.
In summary, a diet pattern reflecting concordance with the 1995 Dietary Guidelines for Americans and the food guide pyramid, as assessed by the HEI-f, was only weakly inversely associated with overall risk of major chronic disease outcomes. Because various aspects of diet that were previously shown to influence risk of cancer or CVD are not represented by the HEI, these findings suggest that the Dietary Guidelines for Americans and the food guide pyramid, on which the HEI is based, may need to be redesigned. Future dietary guidelines should be evaluated for their efficacy in reducing chronic disease risk.
| ACKNOWLEDGMENTS |
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J. D. Seymour, E. E. Calle, E. W. Flagg, R. J. Coates, E. S. Ford, and M. J. Thun Diet Quality Index as a Predictor of Short-term Mortality in the American Cancer Society Cancer Prevention Study II Nutrition Cohort Am. J. Epidemiol., June 1, 2003; 157(11): 980 - 988. [Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF] |
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Writing Group of the PREMIER Collaborative Researc Effects of Comprehensive Lifestyle Modification on Blood Pressure Control: Main Results of the PREMIER Clinical Trial JAMA, April 23, 2003; 289(16): 2083 - 2093. [Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF] |
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M. L McCullough, D. Feskanich, M. J Stampfer, E. L Giovannucci, E. B Rimm, F. B Hu, D. Spiegelman, D. J Hunter, G. A Colditz, and W. C Willett Diet quality and major chronic disease risk in men and women: moving toward improved dietary guidance Am. J. Clinical Nutrition, December 1, 2002; 76(6): 1261 - 1271. [Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF] |
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L. Harnack, K. Nicodemus, D. R Jacobs Jr, and A. R Folsom An evaluation of the Dietary Guidelines for Americans in relation to cancer occurrence Am. J. Clinical Nutrition, October 1, 2002; 76(4): 889 - 896. [Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF] |
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M. Gerber The Comprehensive Approach to Diet: A Critical Review J. Nutr., November 1, 2001; 131(11): 3051S - 3055. [Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF] |
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A. M Coulston The search continues for a tool to evaluate dietary quality Am. J. Clinical Nutrition, October 1, 2001; 74(4): 417 - 417. [Full Text] [PDF] |
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M. L McCullough, D. Feskanich, M. J Stampfer, B. A Rosner, F. B Hu, D. J Hunter, J. N Variyam, G. A Colditz, and W. C Willett Adherence to the Dietary Guidelines for Americans and risk of major chronic disease in women Am. J. Clinical Nutrition, November 1, 2000; 72(5): 1214 - 1222. [Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF] |
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