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ORIGINAL RESEARCH COMMUNICATION |
1 From the Departments of Nutrition (MBS, EBR, WCW, and FBH) and Epidemiology (SL, EBR, JEM, WCW, and FBH), Harvard School of Public Health, Boston; the Division of Preventive Medicine, Department of Medicine, Brigham and Womens Hospital and Harvard Medical School, Boston (SL and JEM); and the Channing Laboratory, Department of Medicine, Brigham and Womens Hospital and Harvard Medical School, Boston (EBR, JEM, WCW, and FBH)
See corresponding editorial on page 243.
| ABSTRACT |
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Objective: Our objective was to prospectively examine the association between glycemic index, glycemic load, and dietary fiber and the risk of type 2 diabetes in a large cohort of young women.
Design: In 1991, 91249 women completed a semiquantitative food-frequency questionnaire that assessed dietary intake. The women were followed for 8 y for the development of incident type 2 diabetes, and dietary information was updated in 1995.
Results: We identified 741 incident cases of confirmed type 2 diabetes during 8 y (716 300 person-years) of follow-up. After adjustment for age, body mass index, family history of diabetes, and other potential confounders, glycemic index was significantly associated with an increased risk of diabetes (multivariate relative risks for quintiles 15, respectively: 1, 1.15, 1.07, 1.27, and 1.59; 95% CI: 1.21, 2.10; P for trend = 0.001). Conversely, cereal fiber intake was associated with a decreased risk of diabetes (multivariate relative risks for quintiles 15, respectively: 1, 0.85, 0.87, 0.82, and 0.64; 95% CI: 0.48, 0.86; P for trend = 0.004). Glycemic load was not significantly associated with risk in the overall cohort (multivariate relative risks for quintiles 15, respectively: 1, 1.31, 1.20, 1.14, and 1.33; 95% CI: 0.92, 1.91; P for trend = 0.21).
Conclusions: A diet high in rapidly absorbed carbohydrates and low in cereal fiber is associated with an increased risk of type 2 diabetes.
Key Words: Glycemic index glycemic load dietary fiber type 2 diabetes prospective studies women
| INTRODUCTION |
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Although the overall data suggest a potential preventive role of diets with a low glycemic index and a high cereal fiber content, the evidence from prospective studies is limited. Furthermore, previous studies on this topic have focused on older participants and women who were largely postmenopausal (20-23). We therefore examined the associations of glycemic index and load and different sources of dietary fiber with incidence of type 2 diabetes in a group of younger women.
| SUBJECTS AND METHODS |
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Dietary assessment
In 1991 the mailed questionnaire included a 133-food item semiquantitative food-frequency questionnaire (FFQ) to obtain dietary information. A similar questionnaire was used to update dietary information in 1995. For each food, a commonly used unit or portion size was specified, and women were asked how often they had consumed that amount of each food on average over the previous year. There were 9 possible responses ranging from "never" to "6 or more times per day." Nutrient intakes were computed by multiplying the frequency response by the nutrient content of the specified portion sizes. Values for nutrients were derived from the US Department of Agriculture sources (25) and supplemented with information from manufacturers. Dietary fiber was determined by enzymatic-gravimetric methods 985.29 and 991.43 of the Association of Official Analytical Chemists (26). The glycemic index values for single food items on the questionnaire were derived with the assistance of Jenkins (University of Toronto), which were based on available databases and publications (13, 27, 28). We calculated the average dietary glycemic index for each participant by summing the products of the carbohydrate content per serving for each food item times the average number of servings of that food per day, times its glycemic index, and divided by the total daily carbohydrate intake (20, 21). Because the amount of carbohydrate in an overall diet can vary, we also applied the concept of glycemic load, which represents the amount of carbohydrates multiplied by the average glycemic index. Glycemic load, glycemic index, and intakes of dietary fiber, magnesium, and caffeine were energy-adjusted by using the residuals method (29). Intakes of carbohydrates and fatty acids were expressed as nutrient density (% of total energy intake) (30). The validity and reliability of FFQs similar to those used in the Nurses Health Study II were described elsewhere (31-34). Briefly, the corrected correlation coefficients between the FFQ and multiple dietary records for carbohydrates and fiber were 0.64 and 0.56 in a validation study with 173 nurses aged 3459 y in the Nurses Health Study I (32, 35) and 0.73 and 0.68 in a cohort of men aged 4074 y in the Health Professionals Follow-Up Study (33). Correlations for individual carbohydrate-rich food items were found to be high as well (white bread: 0.71; dark bread: 0.77; cold breakfast cereal: 0.79; potatoes: 0.66) (31). The ability of the FFQ to assess dietary glycemic index and glycemic load was documented further in a study that evaluated the relations of these 2 variables to plasma concentrations of HDL and triacylglycerol in postmenopausal women (36).
Ascertainment of type 2 diabetes
Women reporting a new diagnosis of diabetes (except gestational diabetes) on any of the biennial questionnaires were sent supplementary questionnaires asking about diagnosis, treatment, and history of ketoacidosis to confirm the self-report. The supplementary questionnaire also asked for the type of diabetes diagnosed, which was used to distinguish between type 2 and type 1 diabetes (n = 27) and gestational diabetes. In accordance with the criteria of the National Diabetes Data Group (37), confirmation of diabetes required at least one of the following: 1) an elevated plasma glucose concentration (fasting plasma glucose
7.8 mmol/L, random plasma glucose
11.1 mmol/L, or plasma glucose
11.1 mmol/L
2 h after the beginning of an oral-glucose-tolerance test) plus at least one classic symptom of diabetes (excessive thirst, polyuria, weight loss, or hunger), 2) no symptoms but
2 elevated plasma glucose concentrations (by the above criteria) on different occasions, or 3) treatment with hypoglycemic medication (insulin or oral hypoglycemic agent). We used the National Diabetes Data Group criteria to define diabetes because most of our cases were diagnosed before the release of the American Diabetes Association criteria in 1997 (38). The validity of self-reported diabetes by medical professionals using the same supplementary questionnaire was documented in the Nurses Health Study I and the Health Professionals Follow-Up Study, in which substudies showed that 98% and 97%, respectively, of the self-reported cases documented by supplementary questionnaires were confirmed by medical record review (39, 40).
Assessment of nondietary exposure
Participants provided information biennially on their age, weight, smoking status, contraceptive use, postmenopausal hormone replacement therapy, history of high blood pressure, and history of high blood cholesterol. We calculated body mass index (BMI) as the ratio of weight (in kg) to squared height (in m), the latter being assessed at baseline only. Self-reports of body weight have been shown to be highly correlated with technician-measured weights (r = 0.96) in the Nurses Health Study I (41). Family history of diabetes was reported in 1989 only. Physical activity was assessed with the 1991 and 1997 questionnaires and was computed as metabolic equivalents per week using the duration per week of various forms of exercise, with each activity weighted by its intensity level. Correlations between physical activity reported on recalls and diaries and that reported on the questionnaire were high in our cohort (0.79 and 0.62) (42).
Statistical analysis
We used Cox proportional hazards analysis stratified on 5-y age categories to estimate relative risks for each category of intake compared with the lowest category. Participants who were diagnosed with diabetes (type 1 or type 2) or who died during follow-up were censored at the date of diagnosis or death. The 1991 intake was used for the follow-up between 1991 and 1995, and we used the average of the 1991 and 1995 intakes for the follow-up between 1995 and 1999 to reduce within-subject variation and best represent long-term diet (43). We used only the 1991 intake data, and not the 1995 data, for those persons who reported on the 1993 or 1995 questionnaire a diagnosis of cancer (except nonmelanoma skin cancer) or cardiovascular disease, because changes in diet after the development of these conditions may confound the relation between dietary intake and diabetes (43). Covariates obtained from the baseline or subsequent questionnaires were used in multivariate analyses, including BMI (<21.0, 21.022.9, 23.024.9, 25.026.9, 27.028.9, 29.030.9, 31.032.9, 33.034.9, and
35.0), total caloric intake (quintiles), alcohol intake (0, 0.14.9, 5.09.9,
10 g/d), physical activity (quintiles), family history of diabetes (yes or no), smoking (never, past, or current), history of high blood pressure (yes or no), history of high blood cholesterol (yes or no), postmenopausal hormone use (never or ever), oral contraceptive use (never, past, or current), magnesium intake (quintiles), caffeine intake (quintiles), and types of fatty acids (quintiles). Nondietary covariates were updated during follow-up by using the most recent data for each 2-y follow-up interval.
The significance of linear trends across categories of dietary intake was tested by assigning each participant the median value for the category and modeling this value as a continuous variable. We also tested for effect modification by BMI, physical activity, and family history of diabetes by performing analyses stratified by these variables and by evaluating interaction terms. All statistical analyses were performed by using SAS statistical software (version, 6.12; SAS institute Inc, Cary, NC).
| RESULTS |
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| DISCUSSION |
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Although the exact mechanisms by which high-glycemic-index diets may alter the risk of type 2 diabetes are unclear, 2 major pathways have been proposed (14, 15). First, the same amount of carbohydrates from high-glycemic-index foods, by definition, produce higher blood glucose concentrations and a greater insulin demand than do low-glycemic index foods. It is possible that chronically increased insulin demand results in pancreatic exhaustion that can result in glucose intolerance (15). Second, high-glycemic-index diets may directly increase insulin resistance. In animal studies, diets high in amylopectin or glucose produced more rapid and severe insulin resistance than did amylose-based diets (16, 17). In a 4-wk study of 32 patients with advanced coronary heart disease, insulin-stimulated glucose uptake in isolated adipocytes harvested from a presternal fat biopsy sample was significantly greater after a low-glycemic-index diet (18). Similarly, a 3-wk trial in 28 premenopausal women observed improved insulin sensitivity (on the basis of a short glucose tolerance test) with a low-glycemic-index diet (19). A 4-mo trial in 34 subjects with impaired glucose tolerance observed lower plasma glucose and free fatty acid concentrations with a high-carbohydrate, low-glycemic-index diet than with a high-carbohydrate, high-glycemic-index diet (44).
Our data were broadly consistent with those observed among older participants in the Nurses Health Study I (20) and the Health Professionals Follow-Up Study (21). The relative risks comparing extreme quintiles of glycemic index were 1.37 (95% CI: 1.09, 1.71; P for trend = 0.005) in the Nurses Health Study I and 1.37 (95% CI: 1.02, 1.83; P for trend = 0.03) in the Health Professionals Follow-Up Study. In contrast, no associations between glycemic index and risk of diabetes were observed in the Iowa Womens Health Study (22) and the ARIC Study (23). However, neither study collected repeated measurements of diet that might have led to an underestimation of the effect size (43). In addition, the questionnaire used in the ARIC Study was a shorter version of the Nurses Health Study I questionnaire that did not address carbohydrate quality in detail (35). Also, the diagnosis of diabetes in the Iowa Womens Health Study was based entirely on self-report (22), and the ARIC Study did not distinguish type 1 and type 2 diabetes (23). Misclassification of either exposure or disease status might, therefore, have led to an underestimation of the association between glycemic index and diabetes in these studies (45). A high glycemic load was related to a more health conscious lifestyle in our cohort, whereas the opposite was observed for the glycemic index. In contrast with our study, glycemic index and load were associated with lower physical activity and higher BMI in the Nurses Health Study I (20) and the Health Professionals Follow-Up Study (21). A health-conscious diet and lifestyle would tend to negatively confound the association for glycemic load, which might explain the lack of association observed in the overall cohort in our study in contrast with the positive association observed in the Nurses Health Study I (20).
Previous studies have not presented an analysis stratified by BMI, physical activity, or family history of diabetes. The individual response to a given carbohydrate load is influenced by the degree of underlying insulin resistance. Physical activity strongly influences glucose tolerance and insulin sensitivity (46) and is a strong predictor of reduced diabetes risk in epidemiologic studies (39, 40, 47, 48). Similarly, a family history of diabetes has been identified to be a strong risk factor for diabetes (49) and insulin resistance, independent of BMI (50-52). Thus, it is expected that the effects of high-glycemic-index foods are stronger in obese, sedentary, and genetically susceptible persons (15). Although the effects of glycemic index and load seemed to be more pronounced among sedentary persons and persons with a family history of diabetes in our study, tests for interaction were not significant. Also, obesity did not significantly modify the effect of glycemic index and load in our study, but our analyses of these effect modifications were limited by a relatively small number of cases.
It is not clear why cereal fiber exerts stronger inverse associations than do other sources of fiber. Viscous fibers seem to affect gastric emptying rate and absorption in the small intestine (53-56). Similarly, viscous fibers were found to have effects on postprandial glycemic response to high-carbohydrate test meals (53). In contrast, insoluble fiber but not soluble fiber, was found to be inversely associated with diabetes risk in previous cohort studies (22, 57). Although cereal products from oat, barley, and psyllium are high in soluble fiber, major sources of soluble fiber are fruit, vegetables, nuts, legumes, and seeds. Whole-grain and bran products from wheat and corn, the major source of cereal fiber in our cohort (58), typically contain insoluble fiber. Despite the lack of an obvious mechanism for the benefits of cereal fiber in preventing diabetes, in all 5 prospective cohort studies that examined associations between different types of dietary fiber and risk of type 2 diabetes, cereal fiber appeared to be most strongly inversely associated with risk (20-23, 57). The intake of cereal fiber in our cohort (energy-adjusted median intake in third quintile: 5.2 g/d) was higher than the intake in older nurses in the Nurses Health Study I (3.7 g/d) but was similar to that in the older women in the Iowa Womens Health Study (4.9 g/d). Because trials of the effects of high-fiber cereal foods and markers of blood glucose control have provided conflicting results (59, 60), it is possible that the consistent effects of cereal fiber observed in observational studies are due to residual confounding. We adjusted for glycemic load, magnesium intake, and lifestyle characteristics in our analysis, which had a minimal effect on the observed associations. Thus, it is unlikely that the effects of cereal fiber can be explained by residual confounding.
Several limitations apply to our study. Although the validity and reliability of FFQs similar to those used in the Nurses Health Study II have been evaluated in similar cohort studies of US health professionals (31-34), we did not validate the questionnaire in our study population but rather assumed that the validation data from these other studies applied to our sample. Because these validation studies were carried out in men and older women, the validation data may not have actually applied to our sample. A direct comparison of risk estimates across studies needs to be done cautiously.
Furthermore, errors in the measurement of dietary intake (eg, errors resulting from the limited quality of available food-composition data, particularly with regard to carbohydrates and dietary fiber, and by random error) may have limited our ability to obtain accurate risk estimates.
Concerns have also been raised about the application of the glycemic index to mixed meals, because other aspects of diet might lead to varying glucose and insulin responses. However, studies showed that the glycemic index of a mixed meal can be predicted consistently as the weighted average of the glycemic index values of each of the component foods, weighted by their relative contribution to total carbohydrates (61-63). In addition, although fat and protein affect the absolute glycemic response, they do not affect the relative differences between foods (64, 65). Furthermore, studies using standardized techniques have found excellent correlations between observed glycemic index values of mixed meals and the calculated values based on individual component foods (61-63). Moreover, metabolic studies in hyperlipidemic (66, 67), diabetic (68-71), and healthy persons (72) have shown adverse metabolic effects of high-glycemic index diets, particularly elevated triacylglycerol concentrations. These effects were replicated in apparently healthy postmenopausal women in the Nurses Health Study I (36) by using a dietary questionnaire similar to the one used in our study. This suggests a physiologic relevance of the estimated average glycemic index and load in our study, although this has not been shown in healthy young women. Although our FFQ was not initially designed to pick up differences in the glycemic index of foods, it was designed to explain variance in the quantity and quality of carbohydrate intake (35). Correlations between similar questionnaires and diet records were found to be high for both total carbohydrates and fiber (31). Because the calculated glycemic index represents an average over all food items, weighed by their contribution to total carbohydrate intake, the design of the questionnaire should have ensured a relative accurate estimation of glycemic index.
Misclassification of disease status should not have biased our observations. We previously reported that our case definition, which was based on self-reports on an extended questionnaire, is highly accurate compared with medical records (39, 40). Given the resulting high specificity of the classification, the remaining misclassification (nonidentified cases) should not have biased our results (73). We did not directly validate the case definition in our cohort, but assumed that women participating in the Nurses Health Study II are similar with respect to the validity of self-reports compared with the Nurses Health Study I. However, our results were very similar to those reported from the Nurses Health Study I (20), and consistent associations were observed for alcohol intake and the risk of diabetes in both cohorts (74, 75), which supports this assumption.
In conclusion, our findings support the hypothesis that diets with a high glycemic index and low in cereal fiber increase the risk of type 2 diabetes, particularly in women with a sedentary lifestyle and a family history of diabetes. This study reinforces the importance of the quality of carbohydrates consumed in preventing type 2 diabetes.
| ACKNOWLEDGMENTS |
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D. E Laaksonen, L. K Toppinen, K. S Juntunen, K. Autio, K.-H. Liukkonen, K. S Poutanen, L. Niskanen, and H. M Mykkanen Dietary carbohydrate modification enhances insulin secretion in persons with the metabolic syndrome Am. J. Clinical Nutrition, December 1, 2005; 82(6): 1218 - 1227. [Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF] |
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A. D. Liese, M. Schulz, F. Fang, T. M.S. Wolever, R. B. D'Agostino Jr, K. C. Sparks, and E. J. Mayer-Davis Dietary Glycemic Index and Glycemic Load, Carbohydrate and Fiber Intake, and Measures of Insulin Sensitivity, Secretion, and Adiposity in the Insulin Resistance Atherosclerosis Study Diabetes Care, December 1, 2005; 28(12): 2832 - 2838. [Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF] |
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X. Pi-Sunyer Do Glycemic Index, Glycemic Load, and Fiber Play a Role in Insulin Sensitivity, Disposition Index, and Type 2 Diabetes? Diabetes Care, December 1, 2005; 28(12): 2978 - 2979. [Full Text] [PDF] |
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J. N Davis, E. E Ventura, M. J Weigensberg, G. D. Ball, M. L Cruz, G. Q Shaibi, and M. I Goran The relation of sugar intake to {beta} cell function in overweight Latino children Am. J. Clinical Nutrition, November 1, 2005; 82(5): 1004 - 1010. [Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF] |
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N. R Sahyoun, A. L Anderson, A. M Kanaya, P. Koh-Banerjee, S. B Kritchevsky, N. de Rekeneire, F. A Tylavsky, A. V Schwartz, J. S. Lee, and T. B Harris Dietary glycemic index and load, measures of glucose metabolism, and body fat distribution in older adults Am. J. Clinical Nutrition, September 1, 2005; 82(3): 547 - 552. [Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF] |
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E. S. Schernhammer, F. B. Hu, E. Giovannucci, D. S. Michaud, G. A. Colditz, M. J. Stampfer, and C. S. Fuchs Sugar-Sweetened Soft Drink Consumption and Risk of Pancreatic Cancer in Two Prospective Cohorts Cancer Epidemiol. Biomarkers Prev., September 1, 2005; 14(9): 2098 - 2105. [Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF] |
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L. Qi, E. Rimm, S. Liu, N. Rifai, and F. B. Hu Dietary Glycemic Index, Glycemic Load, Cereal Fiber, and Plasma Adiponectin Concentration in Diabetic Men Diabetes Care, May 1, 2005; 28(5): 1022 - 1028. [Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF] |
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H. Sies, W. Stahl, and A. Sevanian Nutritional, Dietary and Postprandial Oxidative Stress J. Nutr., May 1, 2005; 135(5): 969 - 972. [Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF] |
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D. J. Jenkins, C. W. Kendall, A. Marchie, and L. S. Augustin Reply to A Walker and B Walker Am. J. Clinical Nutrition, January 1, 2005; 81(1): 197 - 198. [Full Text] [PDF] |
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Z. T. Bloomgarden Diet and Diabetes Diabetes Care, November 1, 2004; 27(11): 2755 - 2760. [Full Text] [PDF] |
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M. B. Schulze, J. E. Manson, D. S. Ludwig, G. A. Colditz, M. J. Stampfer, W. C. Willett, and F. B. Hu Sugar-Sweetened Beverages, Weight Gain, and Incidence of Type 2 Diabetes in Young and Middle-Aged Women JAMA, August 25, 2004; 292(8): 927 - 934. [Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF] |
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