American Journal of Clinical Nutrition, Vol. 88, No. 4, 959-970,
October 2008
© 2008 American Society for Nutrition
ORIGINAL RESEARCH COMMUNICATION |
Validity of predictive equations for resting energy expenditure in US and Dutch overweight and obese class I and II adults aged 18–65 y1,2,3
Peter JM Weijs
1 From the Department of Nutrition and Dietetics, Hogeschool van Amsterdam, University of Applied Science, and the Department of Nutrition and Dietetics, VU University Medical Center, Amsterdam, Netherlands
2 Supported by the Hogeschool van Amsterdam, Amsterdam, Netherlands.
3 Address correspondence to PJM Weijs, Department of Nutrition and Dietetics, Hogeschool van Amsterdam, University of Applied Science, Dr Meurerlaan 8, 1067 SM Amsterdam, Netherlands. E-mail: p.j.m.weijs{at}hva.nl.
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ABSTRACT
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Background: Individual energy requirements of overweight and obese adults can often not be measured by indirect calorimetry.
Objective: The objective was to analyze which resting energy expenditure (REE) predictive equation was the best alternative to indirect calorimetry in US and Dutch adults aged 18–65 y with a body mass index (in kg/m2) of 25 to 40.
Design: Predictive equations based on weight, height, sex, age, fat-free mass, and fat mass were tested. REE in Dutch adults was measured with indirect calorimetry, and published data from the Institute of Medicine were used for US adults. The accuracy of the equations was evaluated on the basis of the percentage of subjects predicted within 10% of the REE measured, the root mean squared prediction error (RMSE), and the mean percentage difference (bias) between predicted and measured REE.
Results: Twenty-seven predictive equations (9 of which were based on FFM) were included. Validation was based on 180 women and 158 men from the United States and on 154 women and 54 men from the Netherlands aged <65 y with a body mass index (in kg/m2) of 25 to 40. Most accurate and precise for the US adults was the Mifflin equation (prediction accuracy: 79%; bias: –1.0%; RMSE: 136 kcal/d), for overweight Dutch adults was the FAO/WHO/UNU weight equation (prediction accuracy: 68%; bias: –2.5%; RMSE: 178), and for obese Dutch adults was the Lazzer equation (prediction accuracy: 69%; bias: –3.0%; RMSE: 215 kcal/d).
Conclusions: For US adults aged 18–65 y with a body mass index of 25 to 40, the REE can best be estimated with the Mifflin equation. For overweight and obese Dutch adults, there appears to be no accurate equation.
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INTRODUCTION
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The prevalence of overweight and obesity is high and increasing (1, 2). Any weight-reduction program will try to establish a reachable goal for weight loss and a reachable goal for dietary intake. This requires knowledge of individual energy requirements and relies on accurate methods of assessment. Because the gold standard, indirect calorimetry, is hardly feasible in most dietetic settings, it remains important to use the most accurate predictive equation to determine resting energy expenditure (REE) in overweight and obese persons (3).
Predictive equations have generally been developed in healthy subjects on the basis of regression analysis of body weight, height, sex, and age as independent variables and measured REE by indirect calorimetry as a dependent variable. On the basis of a comparison of published evidence from Harris and Benedict (4), FAO/WHO/UNU weight or weight and height equations (5), and the equations of Mifflin (6) and Owen (7, 8), Frankenfield et al (9) have advised the use of the Mifflin equation for overweight and obese subjects. However, this expert panel also acknowledges that there are limited data to support the use of the Mifflin equation in overweight and obese subjects.
The level of overweight might be an important factor in the accuracy of the predictive equation, but the level of overweight varies among studies. For most equations, overweight and obese subjects were included, but their relative contribution to the final equation often remains unclear. Therefore, validation of predictive equations should be performed in specific overweight and obese groups of subjects. Recent evaluations of the validity of REE predictive equations have been published for overweight and obese subjects (10–13) and for extremely obese subjects with a body mass index (BMI; in kg/m2) >40 (14–18). Only a few studies have validated equations for a clearly defined overweight group (BMI = 25–30) (12) or obese group (BMI = 30–40) (10).
The range of published REE predictive equations has not been validated, including equations based on body composition [fat-free mass (FFM) and fat mass (FM)]. As part of evidence-based practice, the literature was systematically searched for REE predictive equations, and subsequently included REE equations were validated with indirect calorimetry data from adults aged 18–65 y with a BMI of 25 to 40 to find the most accurate and precise REE predictive equation. To prevent an overgeneralization of our conclusions, all equations were applied to both US (published) and Dutch (new) data.
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SUBJECTS AND METHODS
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Subjects
For the US group, indirect calorimetry data were obtained from the National Academy of Sciences report on Dietary Reference Intakes (19). Only adults aged 18–65 y with a BMI of 25 to 40 were included.
The Dutch subjects were included from different weight-loss studies at the Nutrition Lab of the Department of Nutrition and Dietetics, Hogeschool van Amsterdam, University of Applied Science, Amsterdam, Netherlands between 3 April 2006 and 27 March 2008. Inclusion criteria for the original weight-loss studies were a BMI > 25 and an age of 18–65 y. Data were only included when the subject's BMI at the time of indirect calorimetry was between 25 and 40. All participants gave informed consent. All procedures were in accordance with the ethical standards of the institution.
Indirect calorimetry and anthropometric measures
The indirect calorimetry measurements were performed with a ventilated hood system (Vmax Encore n29; Viasys Healthcare, Houten, Netherlands), which was calibrated for volume and with 2 standard gases every day before use. Additionally, the ventilated hood system was automatically recalibrated every 5 min. Measurements were standardized by internal guidelines. The subjects were in a supine position and awake and had fasted overnight or for
4 h before the measurement was made if the measurements could not be performed before noon. Subjects had not been physically active. Oxygen consumption and carbon dioxide production were measured, and energy expenditure was calculated by using the Weir formula (20). The measurements took 30 min, and only steady state periods of measurement were selected according to the procedures for the ventilated hood system. The first 5 min of the measurements were discarded. An acceptable CV was 10%. Body weight, FFM, and FM were assessed by using the BodPod system (Life Measurement Inc, Concord, CA). BodPod was calibrated immediately before each measurement. Height was measured by using a stadiometer (Seca 222; Seca, Hamburg, Germany).
REE predictive equations
PubMed was used for a systematic search for publications on Mesh-derived keys Energy metabolism', Basal metabolism, and Indirect calorimetry and additional terms ('predict*, estimat*', equation*, and formula*) in every possible combination. Applied limitations were 'english language and humans and age of
18 y. More references were obtained by screening publications cited. Only equations developed in adults were retrieved.
Inclusion criteria were as follows: equations based on body weight, height, age, sex and/or FFM and FM. Exclusion criteria were as follows: age range (only young adults or only elderly), (critically ill) patients, mean BMI < 25 (indication of small proportion of overweight and obese; not applicable to large databases of Harris and Benedict, Schofield, and Oxford), insufficient information, specific ethnic group, small sample size (n < 50), impractical or suspect body composition as variable (including percentage ideal body weight), plasma values of glucose or insulin or diabetes as variable, suspect indirect calorimetry, total energy expenditure, athletes, duplicate publications.
From each included study the best performing equations, based on the highest value for explained variance (R2), were included. However, extra equations were included when based on weight and height (versus weight only) or FFM and also when equations were BMI group specific (different equations for BMI = 25–30 and BMI = 30–40). After this selection, the studies were judged for the methodologic quality of the calorimetry procedure as recently described by Frankenfield et al (21) and Compher et al (22).
For each patient the REE was predicted for all equations in kilocalories per day and compared with measured REE. The actual body weight or FFM at the time of the indirect calorimetry measurement was used for this calculation.
Statistics
Subject characteristics were analyzed with an independent-samples t test. A prediction between 90% and 110% of the REE measured was considered an accurate prediction, a prediction <90% of the REE measured was classified as an underprediction, and a prediction >110% of the REE measured was classified as an overprediction. The percentage of patients that had an REE predicted within ±10% of the REE measured was considered a measure of accuracy on an individual level (21). The mean percentage difference between the REE predicted and that measured (bias) was considered a measure of accuracy on a group level. The root mean squared prediction error (RMSE) was used to indicate how well the model predicted in our data set (23–25). The concordance correlation coefficient (CCC) was used to show the precision and bias of the predictive equations (26). The CCC is calculated by multiplying precision (Pearson correlation coefficient) by accuracy (deviation from line of identity). Data were analyzed by using SPSS 14.0 (SPSS Inc, Chicago, IL), CCC, and Bland-Altman with MedCalc software (version 8.0.2.0; Mariakerke Belgium).
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RESULTS
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The subject characteristics for the 239 US and 208 Dutch adults with a BMI of 25–40 are shown in Table 1
. The Dutch adults were slightly younger than the US adults (women: P = 0.06; men: P = 0.09). Weight and height were significantly higher in the Dutch than in the US adults, even within female and male overweight (BMI = 25–30) and obese (BMI = 30–40) subgroups. REE (kcal/d) was
200 kcal higher in the Dutch than in the US adults. Unfortunately, no body composition data for the US adults were available for further evaluation of REE (in kcal /kg FFM).
A total of 63 scientific papers or reports were retrieved for adult REE predictive equations. Forty-eight papers were excluded (see Table under "Supplemental data" in the online issue): age range, 10; patients, 10; insufficient information, 5; ethnic group, 5; small sample size (n < 50); impractical or suspect body composition as variable, 4; glucose, insulin, or diabetes as a variable, 3; suspect indirect calorimetry, 3; total energy expenditure, 1; athletes, 1; mean BMI < 25, 1; and duplicate publications with same data and same equation, 1. Fifteen papers or reports were included with 27 equations, 18 weight-based equations and 9 FFM-based equations (Table 2
. The studies included had >100 subjects.
The quality of these studies according to the procedure of Frankenfield et al (21) resulted in no further exclusion. Studies based on the Harris and Benedict, Schofield, and Oxford databases were used as published, but, for smaller studies, information on standardization, calibration, and steady state is provided (Table 3
). When judged by evidence-based guidelines for REE measurement with indirect calorimetry (22), reported criteria were always met but unfortunately were not always reported. Mifflin et al (6) reported the shortest measuring time (20 min) and steady state time used (3 min). The absence of bias in subject selection and subject training were rarely found. None of the included equations were based on Dutch adults.
REE data are provided as kcal/d, the percentage bias, the maximum values found for negative error (underprediction) and positive error (overprediction), the RMSE (in kcal/d), the percentage of accurate predictions, the percentage of underpredictions, and the percentage of overpredictions (Table 4
and Table 5
).
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TABLE 4 Evaluation of resting energy expenditure (REE) predictive equations in 239 US adults based on bias, root mean squared prediction error (RMSE), and percentage accurate prediction
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TABLE 5 Evaluation of resting energy expenditure (REE) predictive equations in 208 Dutch adults based on bias, root mean squared prediction error (RMSE), and percentage accurate prediction
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The percentage of accurate predictions, percentage bias, and RMSE for overweight women, obese women, overweight men, and obese men (further referred to as sex and BMI subgroups) for US and Dutch adults are shown in Figure 1
.
For US adults, the equation of Mifflin et (6) provided 79% accurate predictions, 11% underpredictions, and 9% overpredictions and performed well across sex and BMI subgroups; the RMSE was 136 kcal/d, and the percentage bias was –1.0%. For overweight Dutch adults, the FAO/WHO/UNU weight equation (5) provided 64% and 80% accurate predictions for women and men, respectively. For obese Dutch adults, the Lazzer equation (16, 34) provided 68% and 72% accurate predictions for women and men, respectively. Only the De Lorenzo equation (33) provided >60% accurate predictions for all sex and BMI subgroups (overall, 65% accurate predictions). The percentage of accurate predictions varied from 79% to 23% for US adults and from 64% to 13% for Dutch adults. The bias for equations varied from –15% to 9% for the US adults and from –20% to 3% for the Dutch adults, and RMSE varied from 136 to 298 kcal/d for US adults and from 193 to 471 kcal/d for Dutch adults (Figure 1
).
FFM provided no benefit to REE prediction (Figure 2
and Table 5
). Body-composition methods were very different among the studies (Table 2
). However, even the use of air-displacement plethysmography (32), consistent with the present Dutch study group, did not improve REE prediction. The inclusion of height or BMI-specific equations did not improve the percentage of accurate predictions (Figure 2
).

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FIGURE 2. Comparison of percentage accurate predictions for weight-based compared with fat-free mass (FFM)–based resting energy expenditure predictive equations and for weight-based or BMI-independent compared with weight- and height-based or BMI-specific REE predictive equations for US and Dutch adults.
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Bland-Altman plots for 6 selected equations are shown in Figure 3
.
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DISCUSSION
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From this study it appears that REE for US overweight and obese class I and II adults can best be predicted with the Mifflin equation (6). For Dutch overweight adults, the FAO/WHO/UNU weight equation (5) can be used with reasonable accuracy up to a BMI of 30. However, for Dutch obese adults with a BMI of 30–40, the Lazzer equation (16, 34) provides improved accuracy. Whereas the Mifflin equation provides almost 80% accurate equations for US adults, this level of accuracy cannot be reached with presently available equations for Dutch adults. Assessment of FFM and FM did not improve the accuracy of REE prediction. Because any choice is less than optimal for the Dutch, the best way to proceed would be to produce a new equation.
This extends a previous observation in Dutch patients, which showed that the FAO/WHO/UNU weight and height (FAOwh) equations (5) was most accurate (23), although only
50% of patients had accurate predictions. In this previous validation study, there were not enough overweight and obese patients available to establish the accuracy for a BMI of 25–40.
A recent review by an expert panel (9) advised that the Mifflin equation be used for overweight and obese subjects. However, this expert panel acknowledges that there are limited data to support the use of the Mifflin equation in overweight and obese subjects. In this review, the evidence for the accuracy of the Mifflin and Owen equations in overweight and obese subjects is based on one study by Frankenfield et al (10). Six studies were used to validate the original Harris and Benedict equation, of which 2 studies were of suboptimal quality, 1 had an unclear BMI range, and the other 3 were from Owen et al (7, 8) and Frankenfield et al (10). No individual accuracy studies for overweight and obese subjects were used to validate the FAOw and FAOwh equations (5). The present study essentially confirms the conclusion by Frankenfield et al (10) for US adults with a BMI of 25–40 and an age <65 y and now provides the strongest evidence for use of the Mifflin equation in the United States. Because African American females were found to have lower REE values than European American females (36, 37), ethnicity should be addressed. The higher REE values for the Dutch than for the US adults are probably due to the higher weight and height values, even within sex and BMI subgroups. If the higher values are due to the Dutch being taller, the low accuracy level might be true for other countries with "tall" adults.
Recent evaluations of the validity of REE predictive equations have been published for overweight and obese subjects (10–13) and for extremely obese subjects (14–18). There is some support for using the Mifflin equation in European American females (36), males (29), and extremely obese females (17). The FAOw equation has been acceptable in females (29) and in extremely obese subjects (14, 16). Also, the HB1919 equation has been found to be acceptable in persons with a broad weight range (12) and in extremely obese persons (14, 16). However, there seems to be no consensus concerning the use of one preferred REE equation. This might be explained by differences in subject group composition, methods used, or the statistics used, for example.
Different statistical methods may have been used to evaluate how well an equation fits the data. Bias, correlation, and regression analysis are not preferred methods for validating equations (25). Suitable methods include the RMSE and an individual measure of accuracy, such as the percentage of subjects predicted within 10% of the measured value. Additionally, the bias obviously has to be small in order for a predictive equation to perform well. However, a statistical comparison (t test or ANOVA with a post hoc test) indicating a nonsignificant difference between group means is not the same as an accurate fit, because high positive errors might counterbalance high negative errors.
The methods used for the equation development studies might also have differed (Table 3
). Differences in subject selection, subject training, and measurement conditions should be considered. Subject selection refers to the representativeness of the study group relative to the population for which the equation should be used. In the present study, data from Dutch adults that intended to lose weight and agreed to the study procedures were included. This group is not representative of the whole Dutch population and certainly not of the different ethnic groups. However, it seems reasonable to use this group as an approximation for the (white) Dutch adults with a BMI of 25–40 and <65 y of age. The US data might be more representative of the US population with a BMI of 25–40 and <65 y of age. Subject training was not reported in most studies, as in the present study, although the procedures had been explained to the subjects beforehand. The effect of stress (activation of the sympathetic nervous system) might be minimized by collecting steady state data, although this might not fully account for the problem. Because Mifflin had the shortest time of measurement and of steady state duration, it might be preferable not to extend the measurement time beyond 20 min because some subjects get restless. Another factor that might affect REE data is the time of day. However, when measurement conditions as defined by Compher et al (22) are adhered to, this should not be of major concern (38).
Inclusion of height into the equation does not systematically improve REE prediction for overweight and obese adults (Table 5
), although this has been observed for a group of patients of whom 50% were underweight (BMI < 18.5) (23). However, the Mifflin and Lazzer equations both include height as a variable. The FAO/WHO/UNU report (5) showed no statistical advantage of height inclusion; however, there was no evaluation of BMI groups in this 1985 report. Furthermore, there was no improvement in REE prediction by FFM assessment. Müller et al (12) showed that, even for BMI groups, there is no advantage to using FFM-based equations. Korth et al (32) showed that although weight explains less variance in REE than FFM does, inclusion of weight, height, age, and sex together explain a similar amount of variance in REE. This observation is important because weight-based equations are more likely to be used in clinical practice than are FFM-based equations, although there might be other sound reasons for body-composition analysis in weight treatment.
It is advisable to validate REE prediction equations for any single specific population, because prediction equations are expected to be valid for the original population only (39). This is especially true for individual accuracy: the percentage of accurate predictions.
In conclusion, this study showed that there is a wide variation in the accuracy of REE predictive equations. For overweight and obese class I and II US adults, almost 80% could be accurately predicted with the Mifflin equation. For Dutch adults, however, there is no single accurate REE prediction equation. For now, the FAO/WHO/UNU weight equation can be used for overweight adults, and the Lazzer equation for obese subjects. Body-composition assessment is not needed for REE prediction. Whether these equations will also be best for obese patients remains to be assessed.
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ACKNOWLEDGMENTS
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Thanks to Marcel Hesseling (data management), Monique Dekker, Judith Huisman, Fiona van Donselaar, Mieke Kramer, Annemieke Schaap, Ankie van Baar, Renske Strikwerda, Linda Sluijmers, Dennis Bast, Ryanne Zomer, Willemijn Wissekerke, Johanna van Zoonen, Ilona Sonke, and Bianca Ooteman for collecting the data and to Aimee van Dijk, Hinke Kruizenga, and Ageeth Hofsteenge for collecting part of the data for the predictive equations. The author's responsibilities were as follows—designed the study, performed the literature search, conducted the data analysis, and wrote the manuscript. The author had no conflict of interest.
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Received for publication November 28, 2007.
Accepted for publication June 25, 2008.